Wall Of Worry Redux: 24 Statistics Confirming America’s Decline

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homeDARPAcontributorsnewsforumszh-tshirtstoredonaterssmanifesto Shadow Over Asia + Updated China/Japan presentation Posted by: Vitaliy Katsenelson Post date: 10/14/2010 – 09:26 Interview with Vitaliy Katsenelson on the challenges facing China and Japan and the implications to the rest of the world. Contemplations on Oil Posted by: madhedgefundtrader Post date: 10/14/2010 – 08:06 After a tumultuous 2009, oil has been one of the least volatile assets of 2010. It now appears that this crucial commodity is stretching its muscles, limbering up, and getting ready for a serious move. The net effect of the BP oil spill will be a cut of one million barrels a day of Gulf production, about 5% of US consumption. A serious run on the dollar is adding fuel to the fire. (USO), (XOM), (CVX), (OXY), (RSX) When Pigs Can Fly, the Devil Shivers in Hell, and 30% Gains in Western Stock Markets Will Mean Practically Nothing Posted by: smartknowledgeu Post date: 10/14/2010 – 05:04 Since March 6, 2009, the S&P 500 has seemingly been on a remarkable run, gaining 76.68% when priced in our favorite of monopoly currencies, the US dollar. However, when priced in gold, despite the daily rigging games of the government/banker cartel for the past two years, it has only managed to rise 21.64% over the same time span. When priced in silver, the S&P 500 has astonishingly lost 1.8% during the same investment period. To these enormous anomalies, we ask the question,”Will the real currency please stand up?” Navigation PollsDonate To Zero HedgeRecent posts Shopping cart View your shopping cart. User login Username: * Password: * Create new accountRequest new password Zero Hedge Reads Angry BearBearish NewsBoom Bust BlogChina Financial MarketsChris Martenson’s BlogContrary InvestorCoyote BlogCredit WritedownsDaily CapitalistDaneric’s Elliott WavesDealBookDealbreakerDr. Housing BubbleFalkenblogFibozachiFund My Mutal FundGains Pains & CapitalGlobal Economic AnalysisGonzalo LiraImplode-ExplodeInfectious GreedInvesting ContrarianJesse’s Café Américain Market FollyMax KeiserMinyanvilleMises InstituteNaked CapitalismOf Two MindsPension PulseShanky’s TechBlogThe Daily CruxThe Mad Hedge Fund TraderThe Market TickerThe Technical TakeThe Underground InvestorWall St. Cheat SheetWashington’s BlogWealth.netWhen Genius Prevailed Home Wall Of Worry Redux: 24 Statistics Confirming America’s Decline Tyler Durden's picture Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/14/2010 09:42 -0500

Congressional Budget OfficeFederal ReserveGross Domestic ProductIndiaPurchasing PowerReutersRoman EmpireTrade DeficitWall of Worry

Three months ago we presented the Coto Report’s 50 ugliest facts about the US economy. Today, the Economic Collapse has followed up this list with 24 facts of their own, which confirm what Zero Hedge readers know: namely that the US economy has officially entered the “Late Roman Empire” phase of its civilization. Perhaps it is not too late to reverse course yet: As Economic Collapse states: ” Urgent action must be taken if things are going to be turned around.  It is time to get our heads out of the sand.  It is not guaranteed that the United States will always be the greatest economy in the world or that we will even continue to be prosperous.  For many Americans, it will be incredibly difficult to admit that our nation has become a debt addict and an economic punching bag for the rest of the world.  But if we are never willing to admit what the problems are, how are we ever going to come up with the solutions? What you are about to read below is going to absolutely shock many of you.  But hopefully it will shock you enough to get you to take action.  We desperately need to change course as a nation.” Alas, unless the current ruling oligarchy, in which both parties are merely a front for Wall Street money, and the entire political and financial system are changed drastically, and fast, the decline will merely accelerate until there is nothing left of America’s once greatness.

And here is the list:

#1 Ten years ago, the United States was ranked number one in average wealth per adult.  In 2010, the United States has fallen to seventh.

#2 The United States once had the highest proportion of young adults with post-secondary degrees in the world.  Today, the U.S. has fallen to 12th. 

#3 In the 2009 “prosperity index” published by the Legatum Institute, the United States was ranked as just the ninth most prosperous country in the world.  That was down five places from 2008.

#4 In 2001, the United States ranked fourth in the world in per capita broadband Internet use.  Today it ranks 15th.

#5 The economy of India is projected to become larger than the U.S. economy by the year 2050.

#6 One prominent economist now says that the Chinese economy will be three times larger than the U.S. economy by the year 2040.

#7 According to a new study conducted by Thompson Reuters, China could become the global leader in patent filings by next year.

#8 The United States has lost approximately 42,400 factories since 2001.  Approximately 75 percent of those factories employed at least 500 workers while they were still in operation.

#9 The United States has lost a staggering 32 percent of its manufacturing jobs since the year 2000.

#10 Manufacturing employment in the U.S. computer industry is actually lower in 2010 than it was in 1975.

#11 In 1959, manufacturing represented 28 percent of all U.S. economic output.  In 2008, it represented only 11.5 percent.

#12 The television manufacturing industry began in the United States.  So how many televisions are manufactured in the United States today?  According to Princeton University economist Alan S. Blinder, the grand total is zero.

#13 As of the end of 2009, less than 12 million Americans worked in manufacturing.  The last time that less than 12 million Americans were employed in manufacturing was in 1941.

#14 Back in 1980, the United States imported approximately 37 percent of  the oil that we use.  Now we import nearly 60 percent of the oil that we use.

#15 The U.S. trade deficit is running about 40 or 50 billion dollars a month in 2010.  That means that by the end of the year approximately half a trillion dollars (or more) will have left the United States for good.

#16 Between 2000 and 2009, America’s trade deficit with China increased nearly 300 percent.

#17 Today, the United States spends approximately $3.90 on Chinese goods for every $1 that China spends on goods from the United States.

#18 According to a new study conducted by the Economic Policy Institute, if the U.S. trade deficit with China continues to increase at its current rate, the U.S. economy will lose over half a million jobs this year alone.

#19 American 15-year-olds do not even rank in the top half of all advanced nations when it comes to math or science literacy.

#20 Median household income in the U.S. declined from $51,726 in 2008 to $50,221 in 2009.  That was the second yearly decline in a row.

#21 The United States has the third worst poverty rate among the advanced nations tracked by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development.

#22 Since the Federal Reserve was created in 1913, the U.S. dollar has lost over 95 percent of its purchasing power.

#23 U.S. government spending as a percentage of GDP is now up to approximately 36 percent.

#24 The Congressional Budget Office is projecting that U.S. government public debt will hit 716 percent of GDP by the year 2080.

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by Gully Foyle
on Thu, 10/14/2010 – 09:47
#649197

Ya all just discovered Economic Collapse?

Those fucking lists are the highlight of my day.

 

May as well share this

http://www.economicroadmap.com/2010/10/crash-and-burn.html

It’s not an uncommon sight in financial markets: price trends that gradually accelerate until they go “parabolic.” Of course, not all of the moves are to the upside. Sometimes, it’s less of a “moon shot” than a crash-and-burn. Does that describe the trajectory of the United States standing in the world? Based on the following article by Salon.com’s Glenn Greenwald, “Collapsing Empire Watch,” it’s hard not to draw that conclusion.

It’s easy to say and easy to document, but quite difficult to really internalize, that the United States is in the process of imperial collapse. Every now and then, however, one encounters certain facts which compellingly and viscerally highlight how real that is. Here’s the latest such fact, from a new study in Health Affairs by Columbia Health Policy Professors Peter A. Muennig and Sherry A. Glied (h/t):

In 1950, the United States was fifth among the leading industrialized nations with respect to female life expectancy at birth, surpassed only by Sweden, Norway, Australia, and the Netherlands. The last available measure of female life expectancy had the United States ranked at forty-sixth in the world. As of September 23, 2010, the United States ranked forty-ninth for both male and female life expectancy combined.

Just to underscore the rapidity of the decline, as recently as 1999, the U.S. was ranked by the World Health Organization as 24th in life expectancy. It’s now 49th. There are other similarly potent indicators. In 2009, the National Center for Health Statistics ranked the U.S. in 30th place in global infant mortality rates. Out of 20 “rich countries” measured by UNICEF, the U.S. ranks 19th in “child well-being.” Out of 33 nations measured by the OECD, the U.S. ranks 27th for student math literacy and 22nd for student science literacy. In 2009, the World Economic Forum ranked 133 nations in terms of “soundness” of their banks, and the U.S. was ranked in 108th place, just behind Tanzania and just ahead of Venezuela.

There is, however, some good news: the U.S. is now in fifth place in total number of executions, behind only China, Iran, Iraq and Saudi Arabia, and comfortably ahead of Yemen and Sudan, while there are two categories in which the U.S. has been and remains the undisputed champion of the world — this one and this one. And, of course, the U.S. is not just objectively the greatest country on the planet, but the greatest country ever to exist in all of human history — as Dave Roberts put it in response to these life expectancy numbers: “but we’re No. 1 in bestness!” — so we’re every bit as exceptional as ever.

Login or register to post comments by trav7777
on Thu, 10/14/2010 – 10:42
#649378

it’s impossible to look at the US compared to other nations without examining our demographics.

Let’s look at what we’ve done in the past 30 or 40 years.  We’ve relentlessly imported 3rd world demographics and systematically propped up our indigenous 3rd world demographic through programs such as affirmative action, which have devoted resources to those with demonstrably less APTITUDE than others.

So, when 25% of your country is essentially 3rd world, how do you expect to compare to Lichtenstein and shit?  We have demographics in this nation whose violent crime rates are 6-10x that of the majority demographic rate.  This will put a crimp on “life expectancy” as the highest cause of death for young men in one of those demographics is murder.

Yet, our policy profile and the relentless mantra of “multiculturalism” or wtfever it is suggests we should devote more resources to artificially elevating those who have proven unable to cut it, and we should have more immigration to change the demographics of the nation further, because having more 3rd world people and behavior and culture is a “good” thing.

Those in power pushing these agendas want us to be more like Mexico or more like Africa.  They see this “diversity” as strength.  It will somehow make us better.  Well, scoreboard, bitchez; it certainly has NOT by any objective metric in comparison to other nations.  We just keep sliding down the list.  Increasing diversity certainly appears to have failed to improve ANY QoL in any organization on any metric. 

The onus is on the demographic whose dominance LED to the initial high rankings to stand up en masse and retake the helm and discourse.  There may be some eggs broken in cooking this omelette.

Login or register to post comments by Arthor Bearing
on Thu, 10/14/2010 – 11:50
#649644

Just so we can bring it back to the usual enemy, the third world was imported by Kennedy et al. in the 60’s in order to continue our economy’s exponential growth so we could continue to pay off debt obligations to the fed.

Login or register to post comments by trav7777
on Thu, 10/14/2010 – 10:57
#649441

doubled

Login or register to post comments by Sudden Debt
on Thu, 10/14/2010 – 09:46
#649200

Because Jane and Jhon Doe have the memory capacity of a goldfish, nobody will care and nobody will remember the good old days.

Hollywood will make a movie about the economy of 2010 and in 2080, everybody will say: LOOK! America was once a influential world power!

Login or register to post comments by Gully Foyle
on Thu, 10/14/2010 – 09:48
#649204

Sudden Debt

“Jane and Jhon Doe”, do they own a market?

Login or register to post comments by Voodoo Economics
on Thu, 10/14/2010 – 09:48
#649201

Yes, but the rest of the world isn’t as inventive as we are. Yes, they’ve now got the engineers, mathematicians, programmers, etc. etc., but we’ve got Paris Hilton and Dumb Jocks making gazillions and everyone else just trades.

Login or register to post comments by spartan117
on Thu, 10/14/2010 – 09:49
#649205

#1 Ten years ago, the United States was ranked number one in average wealth per adult.  In 2010, the United States has fallen to seventh.

If that statement is based on housing equity, then it should only get worse.  Plus, how is this data compiled and compared against the rest of the world?  If the dollar continues to fall against currencies of the developed/developing nations, then it only means that we have a bigger decline coming in the next few years.

Login or register to post comments by 99er
on Thu, 10/14/2010 – 09:49
#649207

Chart: SPX

Did someone say “decline”?

http://99ercharts.blogspot.com/2010/10/spx_14.html

Login or register to post comments by Sudden Debt
on Thu, 10/14/2010 – 09:50
#649209

Looks like Hollywood has actually been able to make a very realistic movie about the future of America:

 

 

 

Login or register to post comments by Gully Foyle
on Thu, 10/14/2010 – 09:56
#649221

Sudden Debt

Never read any C.M. Kornbluth then. Try The Marching Morons.

Way before Idiocracy.

Login or register to post comments by NotApplicable
on Thu, 10/14/2010 – 10:22
#649299

And way before The Marching Morons, was a man named Cecil Rhodes who so greatly feared being overrun by the barbarians that he dedicated his life and his immense wealth to ensure the liberties of English gentlemen were not lost, creating the Rhodes Scholarships.

To these people we owe the CFR, and countless other social “do-gooder” groups. Instead of making the world a better place though, they work to promote idiocracy in order that they may continue to demonstrate the necessity of their rule.

*sigh*

Login or register to post comments by Gully Foyle
on Thu, 10/14/2010 – 10:36
#649346

NotApplicable

And before Rhodes there was the church. A church that felt a serious threat from Gutenberg.

There is always a before. There is always some individual or group wishing to capitalize on the ignorance of others.

Same as it ever was.

Login or register to post comments by George Costanza
on Thu, 10/14/2010 – 09:54
#649217

CogDis, I think that the “dumb money retail investor” feels this decline and that is one of the many reasons why they are not falling for the Fed Trap to seduce them back into Equities.  

That along with demographic factors and balance sheet repair needs. 

Login or register to post comments by HarryWanger
on Thu, 10/14/2010 – 09:57
#649226

This is great, since everyone always says the market “climbs a wall of worry”. Why the market goes up when it’s worried about the country being squashed like a little bug has always confounded me.

Login or register to post comments by packman
on Thu, 10/14/2010 – 09:59
#649233

#23 U.S. government spending as a percentage of GDP is now up to approximately 36 percent.

That statement is false actually.  The graph originally referred to in the blog referenced is all government spending (including states and municipalities), not just U.S. government spending.

U.S. government spending is running at 25.4% of GDP. ($3.7T per year, as of Q2).

 

Login or register to post comments by clagr
on Thu, 10/14/2010 – 10:21
#649291

Wow! Now I sure do feel better to have that cleared up.

Login or register to post comments by packman
on Thu, 10/14/2010 – 10:45
#649402

My comment wasn’t really intended to paint a prettier picture – just making a commentary that using sloppy data to make an argument doesn’t help the argument.

 

Login or register to post comments by Sophist Economicus
on Thu, 10/14/2010 – 10:00
#649236

Lemme Guess,

 

France or Belgium are number 1, right?

Login or register to post comments by Eureka Springs
on Thu, 10/14/2010 – 10:24
#649310

If only our government feared us.

Login or register to post comments by Comrade de Chaos
on Thu, 10/14/2010 – 10:03
#649238

“(Reuters) – Singapore widened the trading band for its currency in response to increasing market volatility and India intervened to temper a rising rupee as foreign exchange tensions persisted ahead of a key G20 meeting.”

ha

 

and the question of the day ,has the FED started direct purchases of foreign currencies to devalue the $ yet? Are we there, yet? Are we? Arrree

Login or register to post comments by Azannoth
on Thu, 10/14/2010 – 10:02
#649240

“The economy of India is projected to become larger than the U.S. economy, China” etc. those are meningless extrapolations, without external deman (mainly from the USA) those economies Can not grow (that fast)

Login or register to post comments by trav7777
on Thu, 10/14/2010 – 11:19
#649526

not enough oil for them to grow that large

Login or register to post comments by AbandonShip
on Thu, 10/14/2010 – 10:02
#649241

But where else can we go??? 

Has anyone successfully emigrated from Uncle Sam recently that can share their experience?

Canada? (imminent housing bubble there too), Switzerland? Nordic countries?  Trying to figure out if I can get  a phat ex-pat package either in Singapore, HK or Arab Gulf.  I hear Aussie mining firms are gearing up for another materials run for ChIndia.  Any Aussie’s out there that give us buy/sell recommendation on living in Australia?

Login or register to post comments by RobotTrader
on Thu, 10/14/2010 – 10:02
#649243

Hands down, the “worst of the worst” commercial bank here in Los Angeles is Banco Popular.  These guys were the “subprime” SBA lender for many years.  Any SBA deal I looked at and didn’t like, I referred it to BPOP.  About 75% of the time, those guys would make the loan.

Worth watching, because if it breaks out, look out above…

Login or register to post comments by Weimar Ben Bernanke
on Thu, 10/14/2010 – 10:03
#649244

Stop with your fear mongering and anti america sentitment Tyler. Do not you have heard we Amerika,history and the law of economics do not apply to us! American exceptionalism will prevail. I dont care about your facts and economic models that show we are in a decline! Odummer will save us if not then Sarah “Alaskan Bimbo ” Palin will save America. USA USA USA USA!!!! It is your patriotic duty to watch Jersey Shore,American Idol,Dancing with the stars and not pay attention what out govt is doing!!!!

Sarcasm off.

The only thing America needs to have in order to compare it to Rome’s decline is an Adrianople. The battle of Adrianople proved that Romes military supeiorty was done for. If we go to war with Iran that will be our Adrianople.Iran cant us beat conventionally. However they will use assymetrical warfare to defeat us in Iraq,Afghanistan. All they have to do is destablise Saudi Arabia,Iraq,Baharain,and Egypt.Give stinger missiles to the Taliban and give us major headaches in these areas.Afghanistan could be our Adrianople if Pakistan collapses. But America’s military prowess is slowly declining.

Login or register to post comments by johnnynaps
on Thu, 10/14/2010 – 11:07
#649487

Bzzzz! Wrong! We don’t have to worry about winning and losing conventional battles, the “terrorists” proved that with one simple attack. Since 9/11 our economy has done what?

Point being, if we were to go to war with Iran there will be more debt, more political backlash, higher gas prices, social unrest, and an even worse economy. You need not worry about stinger missiles…….you will have to worry about natives with glocks!

Login or register to post comments by Winston Smith 2009
on Thu, 10/14/2010 – 10:12
#649259

Here’s what will trigger the collapse:

http://gonzalolira.blogspot.com/2010/10/second-leg-down-of-americas-deat…

The _entire_ chain of ownership in real estate is fatally tainted.  This is HUGE.

Login or register to post comments by BobPaulson
on Thu, 10/14/2010 – 10:19
#649280

Denial of the HUGENESS has been ongoing for 3 years now. When the doctor lifts the bandage, sees what’s underneath and smiles and does _nothing_, you know you’re a goner.

Login or register to post comments by Internet Tough Guy
on Thu, 10/14/2010 – 10:13
#649261

Even the Mona Lisa is falling apart.

Login or register to post comments by BobPaulson
on Thu, 10/14/2010 – 10:14
#649269

I agree with many of the trends of the predictions but I am not moved by predictions many decades into the future. There are many game changes out there we haven’t discovered (the famous Rumsfeld unknown unknowns) that could make things worse or better. 

Login or register to post comments by George Costanza
on Thu, 10/14/2010 – 10:17
#649275

The financials are finally take a bit of a hit, that does not bode well for the overall market.    Equities cannot break through upper bounds unless Financials participate

Login or register to post comments by the mad hatter
on Thu, 10/14/2010 – 10:19
#649283

#25 parasitic bankers have captured the legislative process worldwide and have forced the fiat-based fractional reserve banking system down the throat of humanity

Login or register to post comments by NotApplicable
on Thu, 10/14/2010 – 10:27
#649322

Nothing new about that fact. Though, perhaps the new part will be its endgame.

Login or register to post comments by Caviar Emptor
on Thu, 10/14/2010 – 10:24
#649308

Between 1960 and 2006, US production of goods and services as a percentage of total world production dropped by half. Despite the hype surrounding the “glorious days” of the 1980s and 90s, which were just deficit-induced spend-fests.

 

 

Login or register to post comments by clagr
on Thu, 10/14/2010 – 10:25
#649317

We need to remember the long range (Mayan) forecast. 2012 is coming; why does this look like an unexpected abberation?

Login or register to post comments by macholatte
on Thu, 10/14/2010 – 10:41
#649374

Shift Happens.

This was originally created in 2006 by Karl Fisch and has been revised I don’t know how many times. I like the original.

 

“Did You Know” (original?)

 

“Did You Know” (revised?)

Login or register to post comments by silver surfer
on Thu, 10/14/2010 – 10:43
#649380

USA has been deindustrialising so fast the last 20 years that the nations status as an industrialised country is starting to get questionable. Thanks to the Washington consensus on free trade. Very bad economic theory that assumes that all labor hours and activities are yielding the same value has mislead policymakers into destroying the western world. This assumptions made it easy for economists to calculate a lot of shit make cool models, but they don’t work! A modern nation gets rich throught industrialisation and manufacturing. Changing your exports from manufactured goods to raw materials and bullshit is a historical proven recipe for poverty. There is a reason for why colonies was being prohibited from setting up manufacturing industries!

Since the industrial revolution 400 years ago this economic rule has been the same:

Good trade, import raw materials and sell industrialised goods.

Bad trade, export raw materials and by industrialised goods.

 

Put in sound money and you got a the real world economic system.

Login or register to post comments by trav7777
on Thu, 10/14/2010 – 11:22
#649536

yes but for that same 400 years there’s been a banking syndicate dominated by a tribe whose historical claim to fame is the accrual of wealth through financial rackets and usury.

That philosophy appears to have taken over America.

Login or register to post comments by silver surfer
on Thu, 10/14/2010 – 10:44
#649391

USA has been deindustrialising so fast the last 20 years that the nations status as an industrialised country is starting to get questionable. Thanks to the Washington consensus on free trade. Very bad economic theory that assumes that all labor hours and activities are yielding the same value has mislead policymakers into destroying the western world. This assumptions made it easy for economists to calculate a lot of shit make cool models, but they don’t work! A modern nation gets rich throught industrialisation and manufacturing. Changing your exports from manufactured goods to raw materials and bullshit is a historical proven recipe for poverty. There is a reason for why colonies was being prohibited from setting up manufacturing industries!

Since the industrial revolution 400 years ago this economic rule has been the same:

Good trade, import raw materials and sell industrialised goods.

Bad trade, export raw materials and by industrialised goods.

 

Put in sound money and you got a the real world economic system.

Login or register to post comments by Gimp
on Thu, 10/14/2010 – 10:44
#649396

Don’t worry we will re-invent ourselves! (into a third world nation)

 

Login or register to post comments by crosey
on Thu, 10/14/2010 – 10:54
#649430

I think the differentiator in this age is our access to information, like ZH.  While not everyone has the fortitude to pursue the truth despite what they may find, there is a sufficient population of truth hunters to make the roaches run for cover.

The world is awakening to the tyranny that is government, cronyism, and TPTB.  Therein lies the agent of change.  If the world is really truthful, we will realize that part of the problem is our (natural?) propensity to laziness, pursuit of comfort, and a general decline in diligence.  Then we may post a permanent watch, like some of our forebears.

Again, the key is the access to a wealth of solid information, and the appetite to pursue the truth.

We will find the way, the means, and we will overcome the tyranny.

Login or register to post comments by pragmatic hobo
on Thu, 10/14/2010 – 11:28
#649552

you just gotta love those linear projections …

Login or register to post comments by Traveler-2
on Thu, 10/14/2010 – 11:50
#649647

Yea, crosey, like I am sure all 30 of us in here are scareing Bernake to death!  Seriously, I love this spot and think Tyler is great, but I surf a lot of sites and still think most people are naiive and just plain dumb……

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